Crypto

Coinbase Rebounds on Buyback Plan Despite Q4 Loss; CPI Data Awaited

Coinbase stock gained over 6% in premarket trading following a new $2 billion share repurchase program, countering a quarterly loss driven by crypto portfolio declines. The market now awaits U.S. CPI data.

StockTi Editorial · · 3 min read · 3 views
Coinbase Rebounds on Buyback Plan Despite Q4 Loss; CPI Data Awaited
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COIN $165.12 +13.00%

Shares of Coinbase Global, Inc. surged in pre-market trading on Friday, February 13, 2026, marking a sharp rebound from the prior session's steep decline. The cryptocurrency exchange's stock climbed 6.1% to $149.69, recovering a portion of the 7.9% drop that saw it close at $141.09 on Thursday. This volatility underscores the company's continued role as a primary proxy for broader sentiment in the digital asset markets.

Financial Results and Strategic Moves

The pre-market movement follows the release of the company's fourth-quarter 2026 financial results. Coinbase reported total revenue of $1.78 billion for the quarter. However, it posted a significant net loss of $667 million. This loss was primarily attributed to a $718 million impairment, largely unrealized, on its cryptocurrency investment portfolio, alongside a $395 million loss on strategic investments. On an adjusted basis, which excludes certain non-cash and one-time items, the company reported net income of $178 million and adjusted EBITDA of $566 million.

In a concurrent strategic update, Chief Financial Officer Alesia Haas announced the board had authorized an additional $2 billion for stock repurchases. Separately, Haas detailed the company's ongoing cryptocurrency acquisition strategy, noting that Coinbase conducts regular weekly bitcoin purchases and that approximately 95% of its corporate crypto treasury allocations are directed toward bitcoin, describing the firm as long-term holders in the ecosystem.

Diversification Amid a Challenging Market

Executive commentary emphasized a strategic pivot toward revenue diversification beyond its core transaction fee business. CEO Brian Armstrong referenced progress on building "The Everything Exchange," while the CFO highlighted the growth of subscription and services revenue. For the first quarter of 2026, the company projected this revenue segment to land between $550 million and $630 million. Through February 10, transaction revenue was approximately $420 million. Analysts pointed to products like stablecoins as potential "shock absorbers" during periods of crypto market weakness.

The quarter unfolded against a difficult backdrop for digital assets. Since its peak on October 6, the price of bitcoin had nearly halved, and investors had withdrawn billions of dollars from U.S.-listed spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Early Friday, bitcoin was down about 0.9% at $66,902, and ether fell roughly 1% to $1,960, pressures that can directly impact exchange trading volumes and fee income.

Operational and Analytical Scrutiny

Operational resilience was also in focus after the platform experienced a brief outage on Thursday. A status page incident related to site performance and transactions was resolved within little over an hour after user reports. Meanwhile, analyst sentiment remains mixed. Notably, Monness Crespi Hardt & Co. downgraded Coinbase to "sell" from "buy" and drastically reduced its price target to $120 from $375, as reported by MT Newswires.

The immediate pre-market gains face several near-term tests. Sustained weakness in cryptocurrency prices coupled with low market volatility could cool transaction revenue anew. Furthermore, any additional platform issues could erode user trust at a sensitive time for the business.

Broader Economic Context

Traders and investors are also closely monitoring the imminent release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January 2026, scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET. This key inflation data point frequently triggers significant volatility in interest rate expectations and risk assets, including technology and crypto-correlated stocks. Economists surveyed by Reuters anticipate a monthly increase of 0.3% and an annual rise of 2.5%.

In summary, Coinbase's pre-market rally reflects a complex interplay of corporate financials, strategic capital allocation announcements, and ongoing challenges within the cryptocurrency sector it serves. The company's efforts to diversify its revenue streams and manage its balance sheet are being tested by persistent market headwinds and macroeconomic uncertainty, setting the stage for continued volatility as the trading day progresses.

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