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Lloyds Shares Dip Amid Rate Cut Speculation and Buyback Activity

Lloyds Banking Group shares declined 1.4% in London trading following disappointing UK economic growth figures that increased expectations for monetary policy easing. The bank also executed a 10 million share buyback.

StockTi Editorial · · 2 min read · 2 views
Lloyds Shares Dip Amid Rate Cut Speculation and Buyback Activity
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Shares of Lloyds Banking Group slipped 1.4% to 100.95 pence during Friday's London session, retreating from a previous close of 102.40 pence. The stock traded between 100.90 and 104.00 pence as investors digested economic data and corporate developments.

Economic Data Drives Rate Expectations

Market sentiment turned cautious after Britain's economy expanded just 0.1% in the final quarter of 2025, missing forecasts. This underwhelming growth figure strengthened speculation that the Bank of England could implement an interest rate reduction as early as March. "We're seeing tentative signs of improved sentiment since last year's budget, but political uncertainty continues to pose risks," noted Luke Bartholomew, deputy chief economist at Aberdeen.

For Lloyds and other UK lenders, interest rate expectations directly impact net interest margins—the difference between what banks earn on loans and pay on deposits. A narrowing spread would shift investor focus toward cost management, credit quality, and potential capital returns.

Corporate Developments and Peer Performance

Lloyds published its annual report for the 2025 financial year, confirming submission to regulatory authorities without disclosing new financial metrics. The bank simultaneously revealed it repurchased 10 million ordinary shares on February 12 through Goldman Sachs International, with prices ranging from 102.50 to 105.55 pence and a volume-weighted average of 104.2224 pence. These shares will be cancelled.

Meanwhile, competitor NatWest reported a 24% annual profit increase on Friday, raising profitability targets through expanded wealth management operations. Lloyds had previously signaled a 12% annual profit jump in late January, upgrading its return on tangible equity goal to above 16% by 2026 while announcing a £1.75 billion share repurchase.

Challenges and Forward Outlook

The banking sector faces ongoing uncertainty regarding potential motor finance mis-selling compensation costs. Additionally, accelerated rate cuts could pressure lending margins just as institutions work to maintain returns.

Investors will monitor Lloyds' first-quarter interim management statement scheduled for April 29 for updated insights on margins, expenses, and credit trends. The bank's shares will trade ex-dividend on April 9, according to its financial calendar.

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