Earnings

Medibank Shares Slide on Mixed Earnings, Premium Hike

Medibank Private shares declined sharply following its half-year results, which showed a marginal drop in underlying profit and a planned premium increase above the industry average.

James Calloway · · · 3 min read · 2 views
Medibank Shares Slide on Mixed Earnings, Premium Hike

Shares of Australian health insurer Medibank Private Ltd. experienced a significant decline, closing 6.2% lower at A$4.50 on Thursday. The sell-off followed the release of the company's financial results for the six months ended December 31, 2025, which presented a mixed picture for investors.

Financial Performance Details

Medibank reported an underlying net profit after tax of A$297.8 million, representing a slight decrease of 0.3% compared to the prior corresponding period. This metric, which excludes volatility from investment markets, fell short of some analyst forecasts. Despite the profit dip, the company's board approved a 6.4% increase in the interim dividend to 8.3 Australian cents per share, fully franked.

Group operating profit showed more strength, rising 6% to A$381.7 million. The health insurance division saw its operating profit edge up 3.5% to A$361.5 million, while the Medibank Health segment reported a robust 28.5% jump in profit to A$48.3 million. The insurer also added 38,300 net resident policyholders over the past year.

Premium Increase and Market Context

A key focus for investors was the company's announcement of an average premium increase of 5.10%, effective April 1, 2026. This rise exceeds the industry-wide average hike of 4.41% recently approved by the Australian government. The premium adjustment comes as the sector grapples with rising hospital and medical expenses.

Chief Executive David Koczkar stated the company has delivered on its growth commitments, highlighting momentum in health insurance and expansion in health services. Medibank also completed the A$163.5 million acquisition of primary care provider Better Medical, signaling a strategic push deeper into integrated care.

Investment and Expense Pressures

Not all financial metrics moved positively. Net investment income declined by 17.1% to A$94.9 million, reflecting challenging market conditions. The company also incurred A$15.0 million in one-off expenses related to the 2022 cybercrime breach, covering ongoing security upgrades, legal, and regulatory costs.

Analysts noted the underlying profit result came in approximately 2% to 4% below expectations, attributed to softer performance in the private health insurance division and rising operational expenses. The larger-than-industry premium hike introduces a risk of increased policyholder scrutiny on value, potentially leading to higher customer churn.

Regulatory Environment and Peer Activity

The earnings report coincides with heightened regulatory attention on the health insurance sector. The government has plans to ban "product phoenixing," a practice where insurers discontinue a policy only to launch a similar product at a higher price. This regulatory shift aims to enhance consumer protection.

Rival insurer NIB Holdings Ltd. has announced its own premium increase, averaging 5.47%, also effective from April 1. The sector-wide adjustments will test consumer affordability and insurers' ability to manage claims inflation while retaining members.

Forward Outlook and Dividend Timeline

Investor attention now turns to potential revisions in full-year forecasts by brokerage firms ahead of Medibank's dividend dates. The shares are scheduled to trade ex-dividend on February 26, 2026, with the payment to be made on March 18, 2026.

The coming months will be critical for Medibank as it implements its premium increase and navigates the balance between profitability, member growth, and cost management. Further cyber-related charges or negative regulatory developments could continue to weigh on market sentiment toward the stock.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market data may be delayed. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.