Earnings

NatWest Lifts Profit and Targets, Announces Capital Return

NatWest shares gained after the bank posted strong annual profits, increased its medium-term return target, and proposed a final dividend alongside a new share repurchase program.

James Calloway · · · 3 min read · 359 views
NatWest Lifts Profit and Targets, Announces Capital Return
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HSBC $79.19 -0.55%

NatWest Group Plc (NWG.L) saw its share price advance modestly in early London trading on Friday, February 13, 2026, following the release of its full-year financial results. The stock gained approximately 0.4%, moving to 597.2 pence. This uptick came as the bank reported a significant 24% increase in its 2025 pretax operating profit, which reached £7.7 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. Total income for the year was £16.6 billion, with a net interest margin of 2.34%. The lender also posted a return on tangible equity (RoTE) of 19.2% for the period.

Elevated Targets and Capital Return Plans

In a strategic update, NatWest's management announced an ambitious new medium-term target, aiming for a return on tangible equity above 18% by 2028. This marks a notable increase from a previous goal of more than 15% set for 2027. Alongside this raised guidance, the board recommended a final dividend of 23.0 pence per share, bringing the total annual payout to 32.5 pence. Furthermore, the bank detailed a substantial capital return initiative, proposing a share buyback program worth £750 million, scheduled for execution in the first half of 2026.

Wealth Management Expansion and Associated Risks

A key focus of the investor briefing, scheduled for 09:00 GMT, is expected to be the bank's strategic pivot toward fee-based revenue streams, particularly in wealth management. This shift is underscored by its recent agreement to acquire Evelyn Partners for £2.7 billion, including debt. Analysts view the deal as transformational for NatWest's ability to serve affluent clients, though some have noted the acquisition price could pressure earnings per share through 2028. The bank has projected the transaction will reduce its core equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio by approximately 130 basis points; the ratio stood at a robust 14.0% at the end of 2025.

The broader context for UK banks remains challenging, with falling interest rates compressing net interest margins—the difference between lending income and deposit costs. NatWest's strategy aims to sustain strong shareholder returns despite this headwind by diversifying its revenue base. However, the wealth management sector is highly competitive, and growth is not guaranteed, introducing execution risk to the bank's plans.

Market Performance and Investor Scrutiny

Prior to the results, NatWest shares had closed at £5.95 on Thursday, representing a decline of 2.55% for the session and lagging the broader FTSE 100 index. The stock currently trades roughly 16% below its 52-week high of £7.05, reached earlier in February. Investors are now closely monitoring whether the bank's updated financial guidance can withstand anticipated shifts in monetary policy and if operational costs can be contained amid increased investment in digital and wealth initiatives.

Chief Executive Paul Thwaite stated the bank is "raising our ambition and sharpening our strategic focus." The reported profit jump of 24% slightly exceeded the £7.5 billion average estimate from analysts surveyed by the bank. Growth in assets under management and administration was already evident prior to the completion of the Evelyn Partners deal.

The bank has scheduled a fixed income investor presentation for 13:30 GMT on the same day. The next scheduled trading update will be the first-quarter results, due on May 1, 2026. Market participants will be watching for early signs of progress on the new strategic targets and the integration of the wealth management acquisition.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market data may be delayed. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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