Earnings

Spotify Shares Hold Gains After Strong Q4, Focus Shifts to Subscriber Momentum

Spotify stock held near $480 in premarket trading after a 14.8% surge, driven by Q4 operating income of €701M and 10% subscriber growth. Q1 revenue guidance slightly missed expectations.

StockTi Editorial · · 2 min read · 14 views
Spotify Shares Hold Gains After Strong Q4, Focus Shifts to Subscriber Momentum
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SPOT $422.61 +2.39%

Spotify Technology S.A. shares maintained their recent strength in Wednesday's premarket session, trading around $481 following a substantial 14.8% gain in the previous trading day. The audio streaming giant's fourth-quarter results provided investors with renewed confidence in its profitability trajectory.

Financial Performance Highlights

The company reported operating income of 701 million euros for the final quarter of 2025, demonstrating significant progress toward sustainable profitability. Paying subscribers grew by 10% year-over-year to reach 290 million, while monthly active users expanded to 751 million. Gross margin improved to 33.1%, reflecting ongoing efficiency improvements.

Guidance and Analyst Reaction

For the current quarter, Spotify projected operating income of 660 million euros, slightly exceeding Wall Street forecasts. However, the company's revenue outlook of 4.5 billion euros came in just below analyst expectations. Investment firm Evercore ISI adjusted its price target downward to $700 from $750 while maintaining its "Outperform" rating on the stock.

Co-CEO Gustav Söderström highlighted the popularity of the platform's "Interactive DJ" feature during discussions with media, while co-CEO Alex Norström noted that emerging markets continue to drive user growth. The company also announced upcoming initiatives including audiobook expansion and a spring partnership to facilitate physical book sales through the app in the United States and United Kingdom.

Market Focus and Risks

Investors are closely monitoring several key factors that could influence Spotify's performance moving forward. Recent price increases across various markets may test subscriber loyalty, particularly among newer users in cost-sensitive regions. Additionally, the company's investments in newer verticals—including video content and creator tools—could pressure margins despite their potential to enhance user engagement.

The streaming service faces intensified competition from well-funded rivals that bundle music within broader entertainment ecosystems. Market participants will be watching for early indications of subscriber churn following recent pricing adjustments and assessing whether margin improvements can be sustained amid ongoing content investments. The next significant catalyst will arrive with first-quarter results, currently scheduled for release around April 28.

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