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Rackspace Stock Plunges on Guidance Cut and New Equity Plan

Rackspace shares tumbled 29% as the company slashed its 2026 revenue forecast by $150 million and unveiled a $250 million stock sale plan, overshadowing its AI ambitions.

Daniel Marsh · · · 3 min read · 8 views
Rackspace Stock Plunges on Guidance Cut and New Equity Plan
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Rackspace Technology Inc (NASDAQ:RXT) experienced a sharp decline on Thursday, with its stock falling 29% to $4.67, retreating from an intraday high of $7.45. The sell-off was triggered by the company's downward revision of its 2026 revenue midpoint by $150 million, alongside the announcement of a new $250 million at-the-market equity offering program. The market's reaction highlights growing concerns about near-term profitability and potential shareholder dilution, despite the company's strategic pivot toward enterprise artificial intelligence.

The majority of the revenue cut—approximately $125 million, or 83%—is attributed to the Public Cloud segment, where Rackspace resells and manages third-party cloud services. The company cited a strategic exit from low-margin resale activities and a shift by major cloud providers toward direct customer relationships as key factors. The Private Cloud segment also saw a reduction of $25 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered to $290 million from $310 million, reflecting the broader operational headwinds.

Preliminary second-quarter revenue was projected between $641 million and $649 million, below the consensus estimate of $657.1 million. Additionally, Rackspace guided for a non-GAAP loss per share of 8 to 11 cents, compared to the Street's expectation of a 3-cent loss. These figures underscore the immediate financial challenges facing the company, even as it positions itself for long-term AI growth.

The equity financing plan, facilitated through Goldman Sachs & Co LLC (NYSE:GS), allows Rackspace to sell up to $250 million in common stock over time. The proceeds are intended for working capital, capital expenditures, and growth initiatives, including potential GPU-related costs. Based on the reference price of $6.43 per share, a full issuance would add approximately 38.9 million shares, or about 16% of the 249.1 million shares outstanding as of March 31. At Thursday's lower price of $4.67, the same amount would represent roughly 53.5 million shares, or 21% of the share count, amplifying dilution concerns.

Rackspace's AI strategy involves partnerships with Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ:AMD) for chips and Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:PLTR) for software, targeting regulated industries. The company aims to reach 15 megawatts of enterprise AI capacity by the end of 2027 and 30 megawatts by 2028. At full capacity, it estimates annual revenue of $450 million to $600 million, representing 18% to 24% of the revised 2026 revenue midpoint. However, management cautioned that deployment depends on customer demand, hardware availability, and finalization of terms with AMD.

CEO Gajen Kandiah stated that the capital raise will "expedite our AI Enterprise strategy" and drive revenue and EBITDA growth from 2027 onward. Palantir CEO Alex Karp emphasized the need for an operating layer to meet strict data control requirements for sovereign AI applications. Despite these optimistic statements, the market remains focused on the near-term financial pressures and the dilutive impact of the equity offering.

Competition from major cloud providers like Amazon.com Inc's (NASDAQ:AMZN) AWS and Microsoft Corp's (NASDAQ:MSFT) Azure continues to intensify, with many customers opting for direct relationships. Rackspace's AI narrative is intended to differentiate it, but the bridge between current challenges and future opportunities remains fraught with risk. The company's ability to execute its AI strategy while managing cash flow and shareholder value will be closely watched by investors.

In summary, Rackspace's stock decline reflects a market that is currently weighing near-term guidance cuts and dilution risks more heavily than long-term AI potential. The company's path forward hinges on successful execution of its AI initiatives and stabilization of its core cloud business.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market data may be delayed. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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