Economy News

Economic news covering Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, jobs reports, GDP growth, and macroeconomic trends affecting the stock market.

NJ Transit Secures $302M State Boost as Fare Revenue Stays Flat
Economy Daniel Marsh

NJ Transit Secures $302M State Boost as Fare Revenue Stays Flat

NJ Transit approved a $3.5B operating budget with state direct aid rising 31% to $302M, while fare revenue holds at $980M, underscoring fiscal challenges.

NYC
Retirement Savings Target Drops to $1.2M as Plan Borrowing Surges 59%
Economy Daniel Marsh

Retirement Savings Target Drops to $1.2M as Plan Borrowing Surges 59%

Americans now target $1.2 million for retirement, down from $1.28 million, as 401(k) borrowing surges 59% and contribution rates fall, per Schroders.

SPY
Social Security COLA for 2027 Could Add Up to $63 Billion in Payments
Economy Daniel Marsh

Social Security COLA for 2027 Could Add Up to $63 Billion in Payments

Projected 2027 Social Security COLA of 3.6% to 3.8% adds $59.6-$63 billion to annual payments, with monthly checks rising $74-$75 on average.

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Mortgage Rates Can Drop Without Fed Action, but Bond Math Shows Limits
Economy Daniel Marsh

Mortgage Rates Can Drop Without Fed Action, but Bond Math Shows Limits

U.S. mortgage rates can fall without a Fed cut, but bond market math shows the limits. The 30-year rate hit 6.65%, with purchase applications down 7.3%.

SPY
Illinois Lottery Sales Flat, Income Plunges 26% as Prize Costs Surge
Economy Daniel Marsh

Illinois Lottery Sales Flat, Income Plunges 26% as Prize Costs Surge

Illinois Lottery sales dipped 0.3% in May, but operating income tumbled 26% as prize costs rose sharply, leaving a $124M June target.

SPY
June CPI Drop Lowers Odds for 3.8% Social Security COLA in 2027
Economy Daniel Marsh

June CPI Drop Lowers Odds for 3.8% Social Security COLA in 2027

June's CPI drop lowers the probability of a 3.8% Social Security COLA for 2027, with the current Q3 average pointing to a 3.1% increase. The gap represents an $11.6 billion annualized difference in federal spending.

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June CPI Cools, Dents Fed Rate Hike Odds; Real Yields Pressure Stocks
Economy Daniel Marsh

June CPI Cools, Dents Fed Rate Hike Odds; Real Yields Pressure Stocks

June CPI fell 0.4%, the largest drop since April 2020, reducing July rate hike odds to 10%. Treasury yields declined but real yields rose, indicating persistent inflation worries.

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Housing Costs Ease, Fueling Fed Rate Cut Bets in June CPI
Economy Daniel Marsh

Housing Costs Ease, Fueling Fed Rate Cut Bets in June CPI

June CPI fell 0.4% as energy prices plunged, but housing costs rose just 0.1%, the smallest gain in over five years, signaling underlying inflation relief for the Fed.

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Student Loan Repayment Cliff Looms for 1.5 Million as SAVE Exit Wave Hits 2028
Economy Daniel Marsh

Student Loan Repayment Cliff Looms for 1.5 Million as SAVE Exit Wave Hits 2028

About 1 million borrowers have left the SAVE program, but 20% picked plans that end in 2028, hinting at another repayment crunch for up to 1.5 million.

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Maine Home Prices Reach New High as Inland Markets Surge
Economy Daniel Marsh

Maine Home Prices Reach New High as Inland Markets Surge

Maine's median home price hit a record $436,000 in June 2026, with inland counties seeing the fastest gains. Sales rose 7.3%, outpacing national trends.

SPY
June CPI Data Set to Test Wall Street's Fragile Optimism
Economy Daniel Marsh

June CPI Data Set to Test Wall Street's Fragile Optimism

The June CPI report, Fed testimony, and bank earnings will test the S&P 500's rally. Lower gas prices may ease headline inflation, but core inflation and service costs remain sticky.

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Fort Wayne Tuffy Franchisee Files Subchapter V Bankruptcy Amid National Surge
Economy Daniel Marsh

Fort Wayne Tuffy Franchisee Files Subchapter V Bankruptcy Amid National Surge

Automotive Solutions Inc., running two Tuffy Tire & Auto Service shops in Fort Wayne, filed for Subchapter V bankruptcy on July 7, 2026, amid a 50% national surge in such filings.

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