June CPI Drop Lowers Odds for 3.8% Social Security COLA in 2027
Economy Daniel Marsh

June CPI Drop Lowers Odds for 3.8% Social Security COLA in 2027

June's CPI drop lowers the probability of a 3.8% Social Security COLA for 2027, with the current Q3 average pointing to a 3.1% increase. The gap represents an $11.6 billion annualized difference in federal spending.

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IBM Warning on AI Spending Hits ServiceNow Stock, Testing Premium Valuation
Markets Daniel Marsh

IBM Warning on AI Spending Hits ServiceNow Stock, Testing Premium Valuation

ServiceNow shares fell sharply after IBM flagged that AI server and storage investments are diverting funds from software, raising scrutiny ahead of its Q2 results.

NOW IBM CRM WDAY UBS
SoFi Stock Rebounds as Second Half Margin Targets Come into Focus
Earnings James Calloway

SoFi Stock Rebounds as Second Half Margin Targets Come into Focus

SoFi shares rose 2.6% in after-hours trading following cooler U.S. inflation data. The company's 2026 profit goals hinge on a sharp margin improvement in the second half of the year.

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Nokia Faces Steep Profit Climb as Ericsson Flags AI-Driven Cost Pressures
Earnings James Calloway

Nokia Faces Steep Profit Climb as Ericsson Flags AI-Driven Cost Pressures

Nokia shares fell 2.5% after Ericsson flagged AI-driven cost inflation. With 72.4% of Nokia's 2026 profit expected in H2, investors are focused on margins.

June CPI Cools, Dents Fed Rate Hike Odds; Real Yields Pressure Stocks
Economy Daniel Marsh

June CPI Cools, Dents Fed Rate Hike Odds; Real Yields Pressure Stocks

June CPI fell 0.4%, the largest drop since April 2020, reducing July rate hike odds to 10%. Treasury yields declined but real yields rose, indicating persistent inflation worries.

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United's Table-Seat Experiment: Four Seats Must Earn 50% More
Markets Daniel Marsh

United's Table-Seat Experiment: Four Seats Must Earn 50% More

United Airlines is testing a shared-table row on its A321XLR jets, blocking two middle seats. The four remaining seats must generate 50% more revenue to match a standard row.

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Nasdaq Futures Surge on Soft CPI, but Energy Drop Masks Underlying Inflation
Markets Daniel Marsh

Nasdaq Futures Surge on Soft CPI, but Energy Drop Masks Underlying Inflation

Nasdaq futures rose 1.38% after June CPI fell 0.4%, the largest monthly drop since April 2020, but energy contributed most of the decline. IBM shares tumbled 22% on disappointing preliminary Q2 revenue.

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Housing Costs Ease, Fueling Fed Rate Cut Bets in June CPI
Economy Daniel Marsh

Housing Costs Ease, Fueling Fed Rate Cut Bets in June CPI

June CPI fell 0.4% as energy prices plunged, but housing costs rose just 0.1%, the smallest gain in over five years, signaling underlying inflation relief for the Fed.

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Goldman Sachs Q2 Earnings Beat Sends P/E Lower, Premium on Book Value Widens
Earnings James Calloway

Goldman Sachs Q2 Earnings Beat Sends P/E Lower, Premium on Book Value Widens

Goldman Sachs posted record Q2 earnings, with EPS of $20.98, beating estimates by 45%. The trailing P/E fell to 16.8, but the stock's premium to tangible book value expanded.

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Nasdaq Surges on Softer CPI as Dow Stalls Under IBM's Weight
Markets Daniel Marsh

Nasdaq Surges on Softer CPI as Dow Stalls Under IBM's Weight

Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1.38% after a softer June CPI report, while Dow futures barely budged due to IBM's 22% plunge. JPMorgan and Wells Fargo beat earnings estimates but faced headwinds from higher costs.

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Wells Fargo Q2 Beats Estimates as Corporate and Investment Banking Drive Growth
Earnings James Calloway

Wells Fargo Q2 Beats Estimates as Corporate and Investment Banking Drive Growth

Wells Fargo (WFC) reported Q2 earnings of $2.00 per share, beating estimates. Revenue rose 9% to $22.6B, driven by corporate and investment banking.

WFC JPM
Student Loan Repayment Cliff Looms for 1.5 Million as SAVE Exit Wave Hits 2028
Economy Daniel Marsh

Student Loan Repayment Cliff Looms for 1.5 Million as SAVE Exit Wave Hits 2028

About 1 million borrowers have left the SAVE program, but 20% picked plans that end in 2028, hinting at another repayment crunch for up to 1.5 million.

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