Economy News

Economic news covering Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, jobs reports, GDP growth, and macroeconomic trends affecting the stock market.

UK Wage Growth Cools, but Gilt Yields Stay Elevated on Oil Spike
Economy Daniel Marsh

UK Wage Growth Cools, but Gilt Yields Stay Elevated on Oil Spike

UK private-sector pay growth slowed to 2.9%, but 10-year gilt yields near 5.4% on oil-driven inflation concerns ahead of BoE decision.

EWU USO GLD
Mortgage Rate Divergence: Daily Index Hits 7.22%, Weekly Average at 6.76%
Economy Daniel Marsh

Mortgage Rate Divergence: Daily Index Hits 7.22%, Weekly Average at 6.76%

Mortgage shoppers face conflicting rate headlines: daily index at 7.22% vs weekly average 6.76%. Here's why both are accurate and what it means for borrowers.

SPY
NY Energy Rebate Checks Mailing Sept. 21; Not Utility Credits
Economy Daniel Marsh

NY Energy Rebate Checks Mailing Sept. 21; Not Utility Credits

New York will mail $1 billion in energy-rebate checks starting Sept. 21, with up to $200 for eligible households. The state-funded payments are not utility credits and won't directly reduce past-due balances at Con Edison (ED).

ED
UK PIP Caseload Hits 4.1M, Adding Pressure on Autumn Budget
Economy Daniel Marsh

UK PIP Caseload Hits 4.1M, Adding Pressure on Autumn Budget

Britain's PIP caseload hit 4.1 million in July, up 2% in three months, intensifying pressure on the autumn budget and gilt market sentiment.

EWU
France Weighs €6B Pension Savings but No Final Plan Yet
Economy Daniel Marsh

France Weighs €6B Pension Savings but No Final Plan Yet

France aims for €6 billion in pension savings but hasn't decided how. Bond market pressure grows as fiscal challenges persist.

SPY
UK State Pension Set for £9.40 Weekly Boost as Earnings Growth Hits 3.9%
Economy Daniel Marsh

UK State Pension Set for £9.40 Weekly Boost as Earnings Growth Hits 3.9%

The UK State Pension is projected to increase by 3.9% to £250.70 per week from April 2027, based on latest earnings data, though inflation could still alter the final amount.

EWU
RBA Faces Inflation Puzzle as CPI Data Delayed Until After Rate Decision
Economy Daniel Marsh

RBA Faces Inflation Puzzle as CPI Data Delayed Until After Rate Decision

Australia's RBA holds rates at 4.35% as July CPI slows to 3.5%, but trimmed-mean inflation stays sticky at 3.6%. August CPI arrives after the Sept. 29 decision.

EWA
Gasoline Surge Drives August CPI, Core Inflation Cools
Economy Daniel Marsh

Gasoline Surge Drives August CPI, Core Inflation Cools

August CPI rose 0.4% as gasoline surged, but core inflation slowed to 2.4% annually, giving the Fed mixed signals before its rate decision.

SPY QQQ GLD USO UNG
Retail Sales Data and Fed Decision Collide on Wednesday
Economy Daniel Marsh

Retail Sales Data and Fed Decision Collide on Wednesday

August retail sales data and the Fed's rate decision land on the same day, creating a high-stakes session for markets.

SPY
UK Mortgage Rates Jump to 5.14% as BOE Decision Looms
Economy Daniel Marsh

UK Mortgage Rates Jump to 5.14% as BOE Decision Looms

Average fixed mortgage rates for UK buyers with 5% deposits climbed to 5.14% on September 12, adding pressure on borrowers before the Bank of England's policy decision on Thursday.

BRK-B BAC JPM HSBC LYG
Social Security 2027 COLA Estimate Climbs to 3.5% Ahead of Final Inflation Report
Economy Daniel Marsh

Social Security 2027 COLA Estimate Climbs to 3.5% Ahead of Final Inflation Report

The 2027 Social Security COLA is now projected at 3.5% to 3.6%, pending September inflation data due Oct 14. A 3.5% raise would add about $72 monthly to average benefits.

SPY
UK Rents Projected to Surge 5% by Year-End as Landlord Exodus Deepens
Economy Daniel Marsh

UK Rents Projected to Surge 5% by Year-End as Landlord Exodus Deepens

Zoopla now expects UK rent growth to hit 4-5% by December, up from its June forecast of 2-3%, as landlord supply tightens despite subdued demand.

BTI HSBC