Economy News

Economic news covering Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, jobs reports, GDP growth, and macroeconomic trends affecting the stock market.

IMF Urges Fiscal Restraint as RBA Rate Hike Bets Surge to 87%
Economy Daniel Marsh

IMF Urges Fiscal Restraint as RBA Rate Hike Bets Surge to 87%

The IMF urges Australia to curb spending as traders see 87% odds of an RBA rate hike on Sept 29. A move to 4.60% would lift mortgage payments and pressure consumer spending.

ASX
Pension Revaluation Eases Teacher Pay Funding Gap in England
Economy Daniel Marsh

Pension Revaluation Eases Teacher Pay Funding Gap in England

England's 3.5% teacher pay award remains unchanged, but a pension revaluation cuts employer costs, helping schools cover the funding gap and easing strike risk.

EWU
Canadian Wealth Hits C$19T, But Gains Favor the Rich
Economy Daniel Marsh

Canadian Wealth Hits C$19T, But Gains Favor the Rich

Canada's household wealth climbed to C$19.1 trillion in Q2, but the richest 20% own 69% of financial assets, highlighting uneven gains.

XLE SPY
State Pension to Hit £13k, But Tax Relief Promise Falls Short
Economy Daniel Marsh

State Pension to Hit £13k, But Tax Relief Promise Falls Short

The UK State Pension is set to exceed £13,000 next April, but the government's tax relief pledge is narrower than expected, leaving many pensioners exposed.

EWU
TUC Chief Joins Bank of England Board, Not Rate-Setting Panel
Economy Daniel Marsh

TUC Chief Joins Bank of England Board, Not Rate-Setting Panel

Paul Nowak joins the Bank of England's Court, but not the MPC, so he won't vote on rates. His appointment doesn't affect the upcoming September decision.

EWU
Fed Signals Rates to Stay Near 4.1% Through 2027
Economy Daniel Marsh

Fed Signals Rates to Stay Near 4.1% Through 2027

The Fed's latest projections show rates holding near 4.1% through 2027, a more restrictive path than previously expected, pressuring bonds and rate-sensitive stocks.

SPY QQQ
Federal Grant Freezes Top $177B, Savings Claims Unverified
Economy Daniel Marsh

Federal Grant Freezes Top $177B, Savings Claims Unverified

A new tracker reports $177B in disrupted federal grants, but savings remain unverified. GAO review found only 3.8% of DOGE savings substantiated, raising investor concerns.

EFA IWM SPY XLU
GAO Puts $6.7B Price Tag on Deferred Resignation Leave
Economy Daniel Marsh

GAO Puts $6.7B Price Tag on Deferred Resignation Leave

The GAO estimates $6.7B in paid leave costs for the deferred resignation program, but cannot confirm net savings. OPM projects $20B annual savings.

SPY
ING Lifts Fixed Mortgage Rates by 20bps Ahead of RBA Decision
Economy Daniel Marsh

ING Lifts Fixed Mortgage Rates by 20bps Ahead of RBA Decision

ING raises fixed mortgage rates by 20bps as RBA decision looms. Citi sees peak at 4.85%. Borrowers face higher costs.

ING
UK Inflation Surges to 3.1% on Fuel Costs, Core Prices Stable
Economy Daniel Marsh

UK Inflation Surges to 3.1% on Fuel Costs, Core Prices Stable

UK inflation rose to 3.1% in August, but core inflation stayed flat, suggesting the Bank of England may hold rates on Thursday.

GLD SLV USO UNG XLE XLF XLK
Japan's August Trade Gap Quadruples as Oil Costs Outpace Chip Boom
Economy Daniel Marsh

Japan's August Trade Gap Quadruples as Oil Costs Outpace Chip Boom

Japan's August trade deficit quadrupled to ¥1.106 trillion as energy import costs soared, while chip exports surged 52.3%. The BOJ meets next week.

EWJ FXI USO
Australian Retirement Costs Hit Record A$78,998 as Energy Bills Surge
Economy Daniel Marsh

Australian Retirement Costs Hit Record A$78,998 as Energy Bills Surge

Australia's comfortable retirement budget has climbed to A$78,998 for couples and A$56,166 for singles, driven by a 22.4% jump in electricity prices.

EWA