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TLT News30 articles
Social Security COLA 2027 Could Surpass Forecasts, Adding $63B
The 2027 Social Security COLA is projected at 3.6%-3.8%, potentially adding up to $63B in payouts, above the Trustees' forecast. CPI data due Wednesday.
2027 Social Security COLA Estimate: $63 Billion Annual Boost
A 3.8% COLA estimate for 2027 Social Security benefits could raise annual payouts by $63 billion, with typical retired workers receiving an extra $79 per month.
30-Year Treasury Yield Surges to 19-Year High as Fed Holds Rates Steady
The 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high of 5.247% after the Fed held rates steady, with real yields leading a sixth straight weekly gain.
Mortgage Rates Rise as Treasury Yields Surge Post-Fed Decision
US mortgage rates increased to 6.78% following the Fed's rate decision, as long-term Treasury yields advanced. The gap between mortgage rates and Treasuries narrowed, indicating pressure from bond markets rather than mortgage-specific issues.
Bitcoin Holds Steady Near $64,650 as Institutional Demand Wanes Before Fed Meeting
Bitcoin holds near $64,650 as institutional demand weakens, with U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs seeing net inflows of just $33.9 million for the week.
Dow Plunges 507 Points; Tech Giants Alphabet, Amazon, Salesforce Fuel Nearly Half the Drop
The Dow Jones fell 507 points as Alphabet, Amazon, and Salesforce accounted for nearly half the drop. Oil above $100 and rising rate hike odds added pressure, while Honeywell gained.
Tech Giants' Cash Burn and Rising Oil Pressure Send Futures Lower
U.S. stock futures declined Thursday as Alphabet and Tesla reported a combined $7 billion negative free cash flow, while Brent crude traded near $99 a barrel and jobless claims fell to 187,000.
SSI Payment Shift: August Disbursement Moved to July 31
August SSI payments of $5.4 billion will be issued July 31, resulting in two payments in July and none in August. Investors should watch for volatility in cash-flow data.
Oil Surge and Inflation Jitters Test AI Stocks Ahead of Key Earnings
Brent crude climbed to $90.87, widening the divergence with semiconductor stocks and raising inflation risks ahead of key tech earnings from GOOGL, TSLA, and INTC.
Energy Stocks Surge on Middle East Tensions, Outperform Tech by 3.5 Points
Energy stocks gained 1.1% on Middle East oil risks, outperforming tech which dropped 2.4%. S&P 500 slipped 0.6% as Brent held above $84 and Treasury yields rose.
Social Security COLA for 2027 Could Add Up to $63 Billion in Payments
Projected 2027 Social Security COLA of 3.6% to 3.8% adds $59.6-$63 billion to annual payments, with monthly checks rising $74-$75 on average.
Ramsey's Retirement Strategy: Cash Flow Over Nest Egg
Dave Ramsey tells a 66-year-old caller with $10,000 in retirement savings to shift her car payment cash flow to build a $350,000 nest egg by age 76, despite market and mortgage risks.
June CPI Drop Lowers Odds for 3.8% Social Security COLA in 2027
June's CPI drop lowers the probability of a 3.8% Social Security COLA for 2027, with the current Q3 average pointing to a 3.1% increase. The gap represents an $11.6 billion annualized difference in federal spending.
June CPI Cools, Dents Fed Rate Hike Odds; Real Yields Pressure Stocks
June CPI fell 0.4%, the largest drop since April 2020, reducing July rate hike odds to 10%. Treasury yields declined but real yields rose, indicating persistent inflation worries.
Dow Ends Lower on Iran Tensions; Nasdaq Holds Gains as Tech Steadies
The Dow dropped 577 points on Iran tensions, while the Nasdaq rose on chip strength. Fed minutes flagged rate-hike risks.
Wall Street Slides as Oil Surge Reignites Inflation Fears
Stocks fell sharply on July 8 as a surge in oil prices stoked inflation fears, ending a rally. The Dow lost nearly 580 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also declined.
Social Security Faces Funding Gap by 2032; June Payment Schedule Finalized
Social Security's final June payment arrives June 24. Trustees project full benefits only through Q4 2032, with a 78% payout thereafter. July payments shift due to Independence Day.
Mortgage rates dip on Iran deal, but Fed stance limits relief
U.S. mortgage rates edged lower on the Iran deal but the Fed's cautious stance limits further drops, offering homebuyers only modest savings.
XRP Breaches $1.20 Support as Hawkish Fed Lifts Dollar
XRP dropped below $1.20 support to $1.17 after the Fed's hawkish stance boosted the dollar, triggering selling and underperformance versus Bitcoin and Ether.
Fed Stays Pat on Rates, Signals 2026 Hike; Warsh's Hawkish Debut Shakes Markets
The Fed held rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% in Kevin Warsh's debut as chair, with a hawkish dot plot projecting a 2026 rate hike to 3.8% and higher inflation forecasts. The S&P 500 fell 1.21% and 2-year Treasury yields surged 16 bps.
Social Security Trust Fund Nears Depletion by Late 2032, Lawmakers Face Tough Choices
The Social Security retirement trust fund is expected to deplete by late 2032, leading to automatic benefit cuts of about 22% if Congress doesn't intervene.
Oil Price Plunge on Iran Deal Drives Mortgage Rates to One-Month Low
Mortgage rates hit a one-month low of 6.56% after oil prices fell sharply on a tentative U.S.-Iran deal. Markets now focus on the Fed's upcoming rate decision.
Social Security Trust Fund Depletion Date Accelerated to 2032, Benefit Cuts Loom
Social Security's retirement and survivor trust fund is now forecast to be depleted by late 2032, a quarter earlier than last year's projection, leading to a 22% benefit cut if Congress fails to intervene.
Social Security Fund Depletion Accelerates to Late 2032
Social Security's retirement trust fund depletion date moved up to Q4 2032, one quarter earlier than last year, risking automatic 22% cuts if Congress fails to act.
Mexican Peso Slides as Strong US Jobs Data Revives Fed Rate Hike Bets
The Mexican peso dropped more than 1% to 17.47 per dollar after a robust US jobs report boosted Treasury yields and the greenback, reviving expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike this year.
Social Security Benefits at Risk of $500 Monthly Cut by 2032, New Report Finds
Social Security retirement benefits face a potential 24% cut by late 2032 if Congress fails to act, with average monthly reductions of $459-$556 across all states, per a new CRFB analysis.
Mortgage Rates Remain Elevated, Dampening Spring Housing Market Activity
U.S. mortgage rates remain in the mid-6% range, with the 30-year fixed at 6.53%, stifling spring home sales. Applications dropped 8.5% and new home sales fell 6.2% in April.
Borrowing $1.5 Trillion for Stocks Unlikely to Fix Social Security, Study Warns
A Boston College study warns that borrowing $1.5 trillion to invest in stocks is unlikely to fix Social Security's shortfall, with the fund failing to repay debt in most scenarios.
Asian Markets Brace for Key Week as Oil, Yields, and AI Dominate
Asian markets enter a crucial week with oil above $103, US yields at 4.558%, and AI optimism from Nvidia and Lenovo. China cracks down on cross-border brokers, while key data includes US PCE and Tokyo CPI.
Dow Hits New Record as Wall Street Eyes Inflation Data and Earnings
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged to a new record close of 50,714.31 on Friday, led by gains in semiconductor and PC stocks, as optimism over U.S.-Iran talks and strong earnings buoyed markets.